On Why George Bush Won the 2004 Presidential Elections Essay Example for Free

On Why George chaparral Won the 2004 presidential Elections EssayThe Economic and Demographic Determinants of Presidential Voting, a journal published in 2005 and written by Robert McNown from the Department of Economics at the University of Colorado, examines on how George Bush won the 2004 US Presidential election. McNown claimed that the area of socio- frugal uniqueness of the citizenry removes the implication of statistics of 2 macro-stinting concepts, such as increase in real disposable income and un usage rate, in which the increase of inflation and employment are significant agentive roles in voting for a President (McNown 2). The claim of McNown was based on vii economic models which utilizes a prediction from a variety of experimental and chronological data, such as economic indicators, public opinion, and factors indicating the advantages of incumbency or Presidential term of office, predictive of probable acquirening of George Bush from 5097 percent over Senator Jo hn Kerry.The seven economic models are basically political sciences or compend that forecasted George Bush ability to win, in which the American Political Science Association (APSA) based in Washington DC has compiled the predictions of seven political scholars that McNown refers as seven economic models (Rajaee 12). society affiliations and rigid sparing According to McNown, voters are influenced by underlying economic factors relating to family values. McNown implied that Party affiliation is a determining factor in Presidential voting, which means fellowship lealty is perceived by electorates (McNown 78).To further explain, McNown exemplified the Democratic Party as reflecting only the awareness of economic destitute in a society but fondness may favor or captivate impact to voters (McNown 8). What could be interpreted in McNowns analysis on the seven economic models or political forecasts relating to the pulse of George Bush attractive ability was the voters perception of party loyalty of Republicans, in which the party platform could be perceived as sensibly inculcated to the overall perceptions of general electorates, specifically the traditional American family values.Thus, the indicators of economic values, to which the Democrats were also coach, could throw been much attributed to the Republicans party loyalty as bearing the family values relating to a more advantageous approach to establishing a strong American economy. Findings McNowns claim may be supported by the indicators and factors that made George W. Bush win the 2004 elections.First, partisanship has proven the support of American voters from the metropolitan areas, as the Electoral College may have intensify the issue on family values that bore more weight of perceptions in party loyalty, as mentioned on probable winning of George Bush from 5097 percent over Senator John Kerry. Second, the Democrats bearing on issues of economic destitute being supported by the African-America n electorates outside the metropolitan areas have been marginalized, in which the perception to socio-economic variables (like poverty) did not pick up or make a vital wiz to the overall electorates.Third, integrating party affiliations, party loyalty and economic issues may still boil kill to the stance of the conservative voters, ranging from middle-aged to elder electorates. We may synthesize McNowns claim from his derivatives of seven economic models or perceptions that most of the old and young American voters were overly conscious in partisanship, party affiliations and loyalty, in which would mean being loyal to a party may extend the consistency and realization of the party platform in the public office. Conclusion We may conclude that partisanship creates and establishes a domino publication to voters.The magnitude of impact summons the loyalty to party affiliations regardless of the current socio-economic issues. Having a two-party remains of partisanship in America co uld be largely weight by common perceptions to which America shall vote. This popular perception may be also referred as pre-conditioning the outcome of election and the insights upon the shift of government. With the performance of the Republicans to the 2004 winning of President Bush, it may have once again proven the old American saying, America belongs to loyal Americans.Works CitedMcNown, R. Economic and Demographic Determinants of Presidential Voting. Department of Economics and Institute of Behavioral Science. University of Colorado. 2005. 28 June 2008 http//spot. colorado. edu/mcnownr/working_papers/presidential_voting. pdf Rajaee, B. Political Scientists Forecast Bush Victory in 2004 Six Out of Seven Models Predict Bush Will Win. American Political Science Association (APSA). 2004. 28 June 2008 http//www. apsanet. org/imgtest/campbell. pdf